How tight is your race?

October 29, 2008 at 5:33 pm | In Uncategorized | Leave a Comment

Sorry, but not very…

As I listed last Wednesday, the 9 polls over the previous week had Obama leading by 7.77% on average.  In the week before that, he had lead by 8.45% on average.

Well, it would appear that the 7.77% i reported was disproportionately effected by the 1 point AP-GfK poll.  The 9 polls that came out over this past week give Obama the lead by an average of 9.625 points.

So, is the race tightening?  As best I can tell it is not.  Incidentally, this matches what folks like Markos and Nate are saying.  As I said last week, I’m surprised but folks appear to have settled in on their decisions.

I’ll be curious to see how the Obama ad tonight effects the polls.  My guess- not at all.

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