Politicana

Dan again, with another article I found linked from Andrew Sullivan this time. It’s by Ezra Klein, and it argues that we know very little about undecided voters –estimating their numbers is an imprecise exercise at best. But undecided voters, by definition, fall into the broader category of swing voters (those with weak leanings, at least initially), and Klein describes a study that asserts that in the last 50 years, only in 1976 did swing voters prove critical to the outcome of a presidential election.

What does this mean?

The outcomes [of elections] are structural — they are decided by events and party identification and satisfaction with the incumbent and other predictable indicators.

Steady … steady.