Comments on: Why McCain/Palin Might Win….

By: Dan

Dan — Sat, 13 Sep 2008 01:22:12 +0000

Did a little voice inside your head say, “Don’t look back, you can never go back?”

By: Russ

Russ — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 15:46:50 +0000

Reason 8: I saw a Prius in the bay area with a McCain/Palin sticker on it! That ain’t right!

By: Peter

Peter — Thu, 11 Sep 2008 23:33:08 +0000

Well, imagine how you would feel if somebody pissed in your cereal.

By: Troy

Troy — Thu, 11 Sep 2008 07:21:21 +0000

Is he like this at your Earthquakes games too, Dan? Does he go on and on with your fellow fans/friends, enumerating the reasons the Quakes might lose tonite’s game?

“1. Mullen isn’t on the team anymore to inspire everyone to greatness….”

By: Dan

Dan — Thu, 11 Sep 2008 07:14:15 +0000

I have no idea what “pissing in his cereal” means, but … go Quakes!

By: Troy

Troy — Thu, 11 Sep 2008 07:12:29 +0000

Damn it, I really want Obama to win Montana. And ND too.

I’m a little surprised by NM– but there are a *lot* of crazy evangelicals in the southern 1/2 of the state.

I think Obama will ultimately win, but I have a feeling I am going to need some Xanax myself before this is all over— this was NOT supposed to be yet another nail-biter like 2000 and 2004!

By: Peter

Peter — Thu, 11 Sep 2008 03:51:06 +0000

According to polling out today:
Florida is now tied 48/48.
McCain has lost some ground in Colorado (he was up by 1 and is now down by 3).
McCain has gained 6 points and now leads by 2 in New Mexico.
Montana and N Dakota have moved dramatically and are now out of reach for us.
Ohio has also widened. McCain is up by 7.
New Hampshire moves toward us by 5 points, Obama now leads 51/45.
No real change in Missouri, Pennsylvanian, Virginia, NC, Wisc.
I will update my “current predictions” when I have seen a bit more but, basically, Dan is right. The state by states look good for Barack. The only real surprise to me is New Mexico. Let’s see if it holds. According to these numbers, even if he lost NM, he could win just by picking up Virginia, Florida, or Colorado + Nevada. None of which is a long shot. And we still have not had the debates.
Would somebody please give Russ a Xanax? Or, at least stop pissing in his cereal.

By: Dan

Dan — Thu, 11 Sep 2008 00:57:34 +0000

On the other hand, Obama needs only to hold the Kerry states and find 18 more EVs. Florida would take care of that all by itself (and leave some wiggle room in case he lost NH or something). And I’ve heard Palin doesn’t play well in FL (but I haven’t seen any data to back that up).

If the Obama campaign knows what it’s doing (and evidence indicates it does) then we have to keep reminding ourselves that this is not a national election. Sure, the media keep yammering about tracking polls and he said-she said stuff, but in the end, it comes down to voter outreach in swing states.

I agree, Colorado and Virginia could be more problematic with Palin onboard the Same Old Express, but Virginia and New Mexico would be enough, by themselves, to guarantee victory, never mind Iowa, Nevada, or even Missouri.

I think the fundamentals are still with us on this one. Palin has successfully gotten inside our heads. We need to get her out as soon as possible.